Methodology

How Skoor Works

Skoor is an AI-powered football match analysis platform. It simulates upcoming matches using 25+ statistical metrics, then tells you whether the data points to a strong signal or stays silent. No gut feelings. No guesswork.

What is Skoor?

Most football analysis tools give you a percentage and expect you to figure out the rest. Skoor is different. It ingests historical data, team form, head-to-head records, expected goals, defensive metrics, referee tendencies, and dozens more data points — then runs a simulation engine that produces a confidence score for each match.

If the confidence is high, Skoor fires a signal. If the data is unclear, it gives you a pass. That distinction is what separates Skoor from platforms that force a prediction on every match regardless of data quality.

The algorithm doesn't care about narratives or hype. It reads numbers. And it's been tested on 3+ seasons of real match data across 80 leagues before a single signal reaches you.

The Analysis Process

Every match goes through three stages before you see a result. No shortcuts, no manual overrides.

STEP 01

Ingest

The engine collects fresh data: last 5-match form, xG trends, head-to-head history, home/away splits, card & corner averages, league context, referee stats, and motivation signals. 25 metrics per match.

STEP 02

Simulate

A Dixon-Coles based model simulates thousands of score outcomes weighted by league-calibrated parameters. Each market (result, over/under, BTTS, corners) gets its own probability distribution.

STEP 03

Decide

The confidence engine compares simulated probabilities against threshold gates. If confidence passes the bar, the match gets a SIGNAL. If not, it gets a PASS. No forced calls, ever.

Pulse vs Apex

Not all signals are equal. Skoor operates on two tiers to separate the daily rhythm from the rare, peak-confidence moments.

Pulse

FREE+

All strong signals generated daily. Wide coverage across 80 leagues. This is the engine's full output — every match where the data says there's an edge.

76% verified accuracy · available on all plans

Apex

PRO

The rarest, highest-confidence signals. A few per week — sometimes none. When Apex fires, it means the algorithm is at its most certain. These moments are what Pro subscribers pay for.

82% verified accuracy · Pro plan only

Which Leagues We Cover

Skoor covers 80 leagues across Europe — from the top 5 to Eredivisie, Super Lig, and both European cups. Each league is individually calibrated because a 2-1 in Serie A means something very different from a 2-1 in the Eredivisie.

How We Test Our Accuracy

Every accuracy number you see on Skoor is the result of a walk-forward backtest— the model predicts matches it has never seen using only data available before kickoff. No hindsight, no cherry-picking.

We test across 3+ full seasons of real match data per league. The current production engine has been validated on over 3,900 matches with independent auditor verification.

Our testing doctrine is simple: the algorithm must pass real-world tests at 75%+ accuracy honestly. We do not optimize thresholds to inflate numbers. If accuracy drops, we improve the model — not the test.

Walk-forward
No future data leakage
3+ seasons
Per league, per market
3,900+ matches
Independently verified

What You Get

Two plans, one engine. 3-day free trial. From $4/week.

Plusfrom $4/wk
  • 10 daily analyses
  • All Pulse signals
  • Detailed scenarios
  • Web access only
Profrom $7/wk
  • Unlimited analyses
  • Pulse + Apex signals
  • Live analysis + AI
  • Web + mobile app

See the engine in action.

Start today and simulate your first match.

Get Started →